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Translated by Ollie Richardson & Angelina Siard


The columnist of Sputnik, the president of the Center for Systematic Analysis and Forecasting Rostislav Ishchenko on the interrelation of street protests, acts of terrorism, European sanctions, and the missile attack across Syria.

If you have problems, unsolvable within the framework of the current political and economic system, you have to either replace the system, or take these problems out of its boundaries. If at this time you have an enemy with who it is cramped on the same planet — the problems should be transferred to the enemy system.

In today’s world the enemy for the West is Russia. Not because it is different (Danes differ more strongly from Greeks than Russians do from Germans). It is simply because the West, which is submerged in systematic crisis, already for two decades tries at the expense of Russia to receive resources for the prolongation of the life of the existing global system, and for the temporary overcoming of the most sharp crisis phenomena. The West tries to repeat the same tricks that they did in the second half of the 80’s and the beginning of the 90’s that succeeded to do with the Soviet Union.

The sharper the crisis in the West is felt, the more its structures are closer to disintegration, the stronger the starvation of resources is felt, the faster the solution to the question in their own favor becomes more actual. And the more the western policy becomes more aggressive.

Offensives alternate with retreats. Sometimes the West even temporarily turns into muted defense. But the general trend doesn’t change.

The nationalists supporting the reforming of the western system itself (in the US — isolationists) up to now couldn’t completely intercept the control levers of globalists. Internal split and the threat in the near future of losing the defining influence on the formation of policy even increased the aggressiveness of the latter. They need to throw forward all resources for the fastest achievement of their goal. Military-political, diplomatic, and information offensives are always carried out simultaneously. In connection with this it is expedient to consider the attempts at organizing street riots in Moscow and Minsk, acts of terrorism in Russia, missile strikes across Syria, and the adoption of the next anti-Russian and anti-Belarusian resolution by European Parliament as links of one chain.  Each of these actions was urged to strengthen the effect of the others.

Street riots had to show the existence of a strong alternative to the current authorities. Acts of terrorism — to show that the authorities don’t control the situation in the country and to cause division in society. The strikes in Syria — to lower the international prestige of Russia, to draw her attention to external problems. And of course the resolution of European Parliament must show to the Russian and Belarusian opposition that they are the focus of the West’s attention, that they are supported, and ideally to paralyze the actions of the authorities for the protection of the constitutional system.

If we delete from the resolution the time and place of events, we will receive a full copy of the western demands that were thrusted forward at the end of 2013 — the beginning of 2014 to Yanukovych: the protection of the “right to free will”, the demand to release all detainees. And, the main thing, the interdiction in the future of using force against “peaceful protesters”, whatever the latter do.

Generally, the West tries to weaken the position of Russia in the external arena, to humiliate its leadership. Sluggish protest moods within the country are stimulated against this background. In addition it tries to shake Belarus rather seriously, as the closest ally of Moscow, including by the planting on its territory of armed Ukrainian militant-provocateurs. At this time during Kiev’s maidan Georgian snipers arrived.

The following task will be to paralyze, at least temporarily, the actions of the authorities and to allow a potential Maidan to increase its weight, having collected on the streets of the capitals more “cannon fodder” among those dissatisfied with anything. Then, “peaceful” demonstrations quickly pass into a regime of forceful attacks on the authorities. The West will try until the last moment to constrain the authorities using the illusion of negotiations. In the final stretch corpses will appear, and the authorities will be called “a criminal regime that lost its legitimacy”, the opposition will be recognised as a lawful representative of the “raised people”.

At this time we should understand that this is not the evil will of certain bad politicians or certain centers of influence, which supporters of conspiracy theories like to argue about. This is the only policy of the West in its current configuration.

Judging by the pressure that globalists put on Trump’s administration, and also on the fact how zealously they violate their own laws in European States, trying not to give power to nationalists in the EU, the ghost of civil war in the EU and the US doesn’t frighten them. On the contrary, they try to frighten opponents using this ghost, forcing them to retreat.

The preservation of the system that globalists protect supposes as an obligatory condition the destruction of the systems of Russia and China and the emerging Eurasian integration structures (not only the Eurasian Economic Union). There are four ways the crisis could develop:

1. Globalists nevertheless will finally lose power and more adequate politicians will be engaged in the internal reforming of the West, having for a long time curtailed foreign policy activity.

2. Globalists will manage to achieve their goals concerning Russia and China. Then they will be able to prolong for about ten-fifteen years the agony of the system, and then the world will break into chaos.

3. Irreconcilable contradictions between globalists and nationalists will push the West into the abyss of civil wars, including wars between EU members.

4. The stake of globalists on an impetuous increase of stakes in international politics will lead to a hot conflict between the West and the East (Russia, China, and allies) which will quickly develop into the Third world nuclear war.

At this time the fork down which there is peaceful change of power in the west and the transition to internal reforming has already almost passed by us. We are presently passing by this. After that there will be a choice of one from three bad options.

That’s why, without leaving until the last moment the fight for a peaceful, diplomatic, political way of exiting the global system crisis, we have to understand that in practice we are at war for a long time. Just that its hot stage is postponed.

And in war the internal adversary is not only no better, but actually much worse than the external adversary. The enemy attacks from the outside, while the traitor sits inside. That’s why commitment to a peaceful way of solving internal problems shouldn’t cancel out the forces of law. Especially in relation to voluntary or involuntary (thanks to dishonesty or stupidity) traitors.

Because Europe needs Maidan at our place [Russia – ed], while we don’t need it — even in Europe.

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