NEW – July 17, 2022
When many experts (critical of their own) talk about the cunning plans of the Ukrainian command, they make one logical mistake. Talking about the next planned offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, they do not take into account the quality of the Ukrainian infantry. It (infantry) holds the defence well enough in forests and small settlements, provided it is supported by its own artillery, but is relatively weak in the defence of cities when the battle takes place at dagger range and even weaker in the offensive when it itself has to get out of the trenches and attack under the really terrifying fire of Russian artillery.
The UAF repeatedly attempted counterattacks, but often they choked before they could begin. There have been cases of successful actions of the Ukrainian infantry in the attack, for example near Kharkov, but this is at this point in time rather an exception to the rule.
I am by no means engaged in boasting and giving frivolous assurances of the possibility of easy wins, but discuss exclusively the current moment. With a substantial mass of soldiers under arms, the Ukrainian command is not yet capable of broad offensive actions. However, this does not mean that they will not be able to learn.
Regarding the work of our artillery, I want to say the following. Compared to the beginning of the war, it began to work an order of magnitude more accurately. I have something to compare it with and I really see that war is the best university. However, all this applies not only to artillery, but I specifically highlight it as the main means of defeating the enemy.
A little more about the infantry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, or rather about its quantitative composition. Several waves of mobilisation have led to the fact that despite the general loss of the quality of personnel, Kiev conducts a constant rotation, which in turn allows to quickly change soldiers on the front line, without bringing the situation to a critical point. The heaviest losses affect the moral and psychological state of the units and, in principle, after a couple of weeks on the front line, many of them become incapacitated, then fresh blood is poured into them, sending old meat to rest in the rear. Therefore, strikes in the deep rear against barracks and training camps for UAF troops are extremely useful.
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