New Challenges for Peace on the Dniester

NEW – July 27, 2022

A round table was held in the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation. It was dedicated to the 30th anniversary of the introduction of peacekeeping forces in Transnistria. There have been many such events recently. Only now the speakers’ reports are becoming more and more alarming every time.

Moscow is increasingly saying that Transnistria is on the verge of an armed conflict.

Foreign Minister Vitaly Ignatiyev in his report gave an unfavourable forecast of the development of the situation on the Dniester. Tiraspol does not exclude the possibility of the Moldovan side’s withdrawal from the Joint Control Commission and the Joint Military Command. The Transnistrian side also foresees the statements of the Moldovan leadership about the loss of the political force of the 1992 agreement, which de jure returns the situation to the time of conflict.

Oleg Belyakov, Co-Chairman of the Joint Control Commission from Transnistria, spoke about new challenges for preserving peace on the Dniester. And these are systematic violations of the Security Zone regime. The movement of Moldovan military equipment is regularly recorded there. And military exercises with the participation of NATO countries are taking place very close to the training ground.

“There is an alarming component that suggests that our Moldovan colleagues have recently taken the position of diluting the current format of the peacekeeping operation, creating conditions when the performance of certain functions becomes impossible. We used to conduct joint exercises and controlled the service at peacekeeping posts. Now this is not being carried out and is not being done on the initiative of the Moldovan side,” Oleg Belyakov said.

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Maksim Grigoriyev, a member of the Public Chamber of Russia, chairman of the International Public Tribunal for the investigation of crimes of Ukrainian neo-nazis, believes that the likelihood of an attack on Transnistria is growing every day.

He considers a series of terrorist acts in Transnistria in April, May and June to be signs of this. Maksim Grigoriyev also pointed to the “anti-Russian orientation” of the actions of the current Moldovan authorities, including repression against supporters of cooperation with Russia, statements by Ukrainian officials about their readiness to attack Transnistria.

Deputy of the Supreme Council Andrey Safonov made a forecast regarding the further development of the regional situation. He recommends focusing on possible attempts to torpedo the peacekeeping operation.

“The pressure on Transnistria will increase dramatically. Everything will start with attempts to oust Russian peacekeepers from the territory of the Republic of Moldova on the right bank of the Dniester, where there are posts of peacekeepers. Why do they need this? To ensure freedom of hands at the border. If they implement a minimum program, then this is division along the Dniester, as it was in 1918 – 1940. Also bring Romanian military personnel and Western advisers to the security zone,” Andrey Safonov predicts.

At the round table, Russian experts also recommended that the Transnistrian armed forces and civil defence bodies prepare for possible aggression, both from Ukraine and Moldova.

There has never been such rhetoric. The situation in the region is changing rapidly and not for the better.


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