Oleg Tsarev: Potential Usurper Avakov Benefits From Long-Term Quarantine

The Minister of Internal Affairs of the country Arsen Avakov stated on his blog that the quarantine in Ukraine may not end until May 15th.

At the same time, according to the Minister, this is an optimistic scenario, which will happen if the situation with the spreading of coronavirus in the country improves.

“Everyone asks when the quarantine and restrictions will end. Many are tired of sitting within four walls. Many worry about their work and business. Many simply do not have the money – they have no reason to feel calm – they need to earn money.

I’ll try to answer some questions. 1. No one in our country knows when the epidemic will end and the quarantine will be lifted – and whoever says they know is lying. Everything will depend on the development of the situation and our success in the fight against the virus. So far, quarantine has been cancelled only in China. Countries around us are tightening restrictions every day – from Poland, from April 1st, imposing a tougher quarantine regime, to curfews in Nice and a ban on taking to the streets in France, Spain, Italy and in the same Moscow and New York.

Let’s see how the events in Europe, which the wave of virus covered before us, will develop. But to be honest, you have to be realistic. My view is that the country will not start to return to normal life until May 15. And these are optimist assumptions. On the other hand, now is a very responsible moment of attack of the epidemic. If we do not hug and have barbecues in parks, gifting each other the virus, we can bring down the peak of the virus, without reaching the level of tragic losses,” wrote Avakov.

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According to the former deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Oleg Tsarev, the Minister of Internal Affairs meanwhile benefits from the quarantine situation – it allows to increase dissatisfaction with the current government and weakens the position of President Zelensky.

According to the politician, quarantine in general allows the authorities to adopt the necessary laws for it, in particular on the land market.

“The quarantine has already fulfilled its task for the authorities – they have passed a law on the sale of land – and there are no mass protests as such, because the attention of people is switched to the topic of quarantine. Avakov’s statement that the quarantine will be extended until the 15th day – there is such a joke from Soviet times: ‘Will there be a war? There will be no war, but there will be such a struggle for peace that there will be no stone left unturned.’

Here, roughly the same thing is happening to the epidemic right now. In Ukraine with a destroyed economy, to which the gastarbeiters have returned from all countries, and now there will be no foreign exchange revenues, which the authorities counted on, as they propped up the exchange rate of the hryvnia, the stopped economy – the country cannot afford all of this. Avakov’s approach is: the worse, the better. If the people are brought to despair, they will simply sweep Zelensky away, and power itself will fall into Avakov’s hands. Therefore, he has consistently advocated the strengthening of the quarantine and the imposition of a state of emergency in the country. It plays into his hands,” declared Tsarev.

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According to Tsarev, the adopted law on the land market weakens Zelensky’s position, because Avakov decided not to bring tamed nationalists to the streets, despite the fact that “National Corpus“, which is under his control, threatened to revolt if the moratorium on the sale of land is lifted.

“Avakov could not bring militants to the streets because he cannot work openly against the office of the President, against Zelensky. The President’s Office understands all the risks associated with Avakov. Zelensky is told by many that it is time to make a choice because the country will either have Zelensky or Avakov. Zelensky will either remain, or Avakov will become his replacement. In the current conditions Avakov could not allow ‘National Corpus’ to go out and block the tasks set by Zelensky,” said Tsarev.

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