Political Deadlock: NATO Isn’t in a Hurry to Give Membership to Georgia

The head of the Georgian Institute of Strategy and Management Pyotr Mamradze explained to the Russian “NSN” radio station why the words of Nino Burjanadze about the desire to have friendly relations with Moscow will remain ignored in Tbilisi.

As a reminder, Burjanadze said that Georgia does not need to enter NATO, since it can do a lot of harm to relations with Russia. Also, according to her, the renewal of relations with Moscow at the highest level must be achieved by the forces of Tbilisi, since “Russia has made similar steps”.

“After Russian military bases appeared on the territory of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, which for me will always remain Georgian territories, of course, we face a dilemma. If politicians say that Georgia should join NATO, then what happens? That there should be NATO bases and Russian bases on the territory of Georgia? This is disastrously dangerous for Georgia! And, on the other hand, it is clear that if things go in this direction, Russia will never withdraw its troops from Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and we generally lose any theoretical opportunity to restore the territorial integrity of Georgia”

Burjanadze’s words have no special weight in Georgia and are only rhetoric, noted Mamradze. In addition, in Georgia it is clear for everyone that nobody in NATO is waiting for Tbilisi.

On the one hand, Burjanadze lost her prestige, this was clearly shown in recent years. But in fact, everyone in Georgia understands the fact that when western experts say that Georgia will not be added to NATO whatsoever, it is the truth. Moreover, nobody is even going to submit this symbolical plan for joining. To cooperate and stage drills, to promote partnership, but there won’t be one iota of further progress

The reason for that, according to him, not only territorial problems of Georgia, but also a position of Russia which will interfere in every way with the entry of Georgia into NATO.

“They consider that their territorial integrity is being violated, that there are powerful Russian bases on the territory of Abkhazia and the former South Ossetia autonomous region, and that the Russian government is categorically against the entry of Georgia into NATO. The Director of the Centre for European Security in Prague, for example, said that if someone thinks about allowing Ukraine and Georgia to enter NATO, it will cause Russia to instantly react, which will nullify any such initiatives. Thus, Burjanadze’s words are pure rhetoric that do not have expert weight,” said Mamradze.

As for renewing relations with Russia, in the near future it is impossible, added Mamradze. The clash is because of the obstinacy of the parties, which will not start to renounce their principles.

“There were such opinions, especially after the coming to power of ‘Dream‘, when its leaders said that it is necessary to start good neighbourly relations with Russia. These completely inexperienced people soon realised what is perfectly clear to everyone: such statements and attempts cannot change the position of Russia on recognising Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states at all. And on the other hand, no Georgian leaders at this historical stage can say to the people: let us recognise these territories as independent too, and on the basis of this we will appeal to Russia to restore diplomatic relations. There is an obvious political deadlock,” concluded Mamradze.

In other words, the days when NATO could expand without much resistance and without suffering major consequences are over. Neither Ukraine nor Georgia will enter the terroristic North Atlantic alliance in the next 10 years at least. Instead, there will be a situation where Eastern European countries and the Balkans will host tugs of war between Eurasia and the Anglo-Saxons, the balance of which will be determined by economic factors, such as gas pipelines. It is also worth nothing that the current political situation in Eastern European countries where the US staged a coup and used the local army to attack the Russian world is more or less identical, with breakaway states -i.e., those who want to remain on good terms with Russia – being the main fruit of this process. And the equilibrium of this situation depends on parallel processes happening in other theatres of military operations, such as Syria.

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