Rostislav Ishchenko: Poroshenko’s NATO-EU Course Pushes Ukraine Towards Disintegration

Translated by Ollie Richardson & Angelina Siard


The President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko once again promised to lead the country into NATO and the EU and stated that he would prepare the relevant amendments to the constitution.

“I will insist on cementing in the constitution our aspiration to join the European Union and to enter NATO. The lawyers have found a formula on how to do this optimally and quickly. I will submit the relevant bill before the session of the Verkhovna Rada planned for September 4th is opened,” said Poroshenko at the parade on the occasion of the 27th anniversary of the declaration of independence.

According to the president, Ukraine will become a part of the alliance in 2030. At the same time, it should be noted that the NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated that Ukraine will not be able to enter the bloc for a very long time.

The president of the Center for System Analysis and Forecasting Rostislav Ishchenko in comment to the correspondent of Federal news agency ironically noted that at the time Poroshenko could’ve also promised that Ukraine will become part of NATO by 2030.

“Poroshenko will no longer be the president by the time 2030 comes. I don’t know if he will even be in Ukraine at this moment… Why not promise it now? He promised in the past that peace will come several hours after he becomes the president. To promise is not to marry,” affirms the political analyst.

Rostislav Ishchenko

In addition, the interlocutor of the agency added that the hopes of the Kiev authorities for so-called European integration are completely in vain. The reaction of the West to Kiev’s path to the EU and NATO won’t please Poroshenko.

“The European Union unambiguously states that it doesn’t see Ukraine in its ranks. Moreover, the EU now has problems not with expansion, but with disintegration – it tries to fight against the trend of disintegration,” noted the political scientist.

Rostislav Ishchenko also assumed that Ukraine as a state can collapse – this threat is quite real. In this case, Hungary or Poland can take away parts of its territory.

“In addition, in Ukraine there indeed is a separatist trend, because Kiev practically doesn’t give anything, but only takes things away. The local authorities feel rather strong, they all have their private armies, they control the local economy and the political life.

And they need Kiev only as an outlet to the big world. Considering the fact that Ukraine became politically isolated in international relations, the center doesn’t perform the aforementioned function anymore,” specified the analyst.

He also added that the regional authorities can independently resolve all their issues and thus Kiev’s use for them disappears.

“Things are clear: whatever the Ukrainian president’s name is, they will suit one group and not all the others. Respectively, all territorial possessions in the sizes of one-two regions will seek to distance themselves from this president. This doesn’t necessarily mean declaring independence, although this is theoretically possible too,” summarised Rostislav Ishchenko.

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