The Russian analyst Ildar Yunusov explains why the main quartet of missiles at the disposal of the Russian military today will systematically put an end to America’s aircraft carrier dominance…
Just two months ago I wrote that the era of the aircraft carrier strike group, and along with it the era of the unconditional dominance of the US fleet in the world ocean, will soon end. Thanks To Uncle Vova (Putin). Appealing to the Federal Assembly on February 20th, he authoritatively confirmed that I was not lying. After all, it is easy for him – he is the only person in the country who is allowed by law to reveal military secrets; and we, mere mortals, can only guess… Having sounded very interesting details, Uncle Vova suggested to our “partners” to do some counting. After all, they will for sure count in a precise way; so let’s count too.
We proceed from the fact that the blue dream of the Russian military-industrial complex – to think about how to sink an aircraft carrier – has so far been a utopia in general: for this it was necessary to come close to the target by at least 250 km, which the combat radius of the deck aircraft (Super Hornet F-18 is an excellent aircraft with a radius of combat use of about 1000 km) did not allow to do. It’s impossible to come close.
That’s why the birth of the Russian military-industrial complex was very long and difficult, but it gave birth to quadruplets:
- Kinzhal. Sits beneath a MiG-31K (interceptor, we have a lot of them), and will soon go to the compartments of the strategists TU-22M and TU-160. The flight range is 1500 km, and the speed is about Mach 10; it can’t be intercepted — it’s like chasing a bullet with a tennis ball; let’s count – the US has 11 aircraft carriers, so we need 22 Kinzhals — just to be on the safe side. By the way, in his interview on the same day the frowning army General Shoigu leaked another detail: Kinzhals was put through experimental combat duty in the Southern Federal district and made 380 control launches (1 squadron of MiG-31K) over the waters of the Black and Caspian seas., which confirms that it is a primarily anti-ship missile… It is clear that now it has a direct path to serial production and for the use of the troops.
- Kalibr. We remember very well how the Caspian flotilla made furore in 2015, having hit ISIS in Syria with Kalibr. It’s like you live a CNN report on the “Desert Storm” from 1990… These things, according to various estimates, fly from 1500 to 2500 km (much further than Tomahawk), and it seems that it arrives exactly where it is needed. On February 20th Uncle Vova ordered to create a land-based Kalibr, and in addition – to make it fly up to 4,500 km. I personally don’t at all doubt that a land-based Kalibr will be created; and the flight of 4.500 km completely covers the waters of the Baltic Sea, most of the North Sea, all of the Black, Eastern, and Central Mediterranean, the entire Arctic, Okhotsk, and Eastern Pacific Ocean. So now come and try to approach these wild Russians. Of course, the Kalibr is subsonic, and the American Standard-3 can intercept it, but with a salvo launch the probability of interception drops sharply.
- Tsirkon is the main showstopper from Uncle Vova this year. Hypersonic anti-ship speed of Mach 9, has a range of over 1,000 km, and practically is impossible to intercept.
What does this mean? Simply put, an ordinary Russian destroyer (not to mention a frigate) with Tsirkons in its universal ship firing complex can shoot at an American aircraft carrier strike group without entering the zone of its weapons and without it being technically possible to intercept these Tsirkons. Moreover, there is a strong suspicion that the developer of Tsirkon introduced in this missile the same principle of action that was and still is in its predecessor – the anti-ship “Granit” missile, namely the principle of “wolf pack”, when the first missile goes high up and carries out target designation for the rest of the salvo, and the other missiles go low over the water, talking among themselves and distributing among themselves the targets for the attack. If this is indeed so, then I think that this is indeed how things will happen, so for any aircraft carrier strike group it will for sure mean its destruction…;
- And of course, Poseidon – an unprecedented sea monster, which was still thought up by the academician Sakharov before he became a Soviet dissident. We were pleased that the first submarine (apparently, Belgorod or Khabarovsk) will go to the sea this spring with Poseidons.
What the devil is this? Kind uncles from the Main Department of Deep-sea Research of the Defense Ministry leaked to the press that there will be 4 of these submarines, each with 8 on-board apparatuses. As was suggested by Uncle Vova, let’s count: 2 boats somewhere on duty in the Pacific = 16 Poseidons. Enough for all 3 major naval bases on the Pacific coast of the United States (San Diego, Coronado, and Concord), and still some leftover for Hawaii and Diego Garcia (3), Yokosuka and Okinawa (Japan), Manama (Bahrain), and the remaining aircraft carrier strike group in the open sea. Another 2 boats somewhere in the Atlantic = 16 units: enough for the 4 main naval bases on the Atlantic coast, New York, and the rest is for the aircraft carrier strike group in the open Atlantic. It’s impossible to intercept this monster with anything: it has a depth of up to 1 km (conventional submarines go to 300-500m), a speed of 180 km, no torpedo can keep up, its cruising range is unlimited (nuclear power unit). In fact, it’s the same as the Russian ground Perimetr (doomsday weapon, Dead Man’s Hand), only taken out of its territory and hidden somewhere in the depths of the world ocean. So that nobody has doubts, the Main Department of Deep-sea Research showed a short video of a silent exit of Poseidon from the torpedo compartment of a real submarine under water, like in the horror films of Hitchcock, and succinctly reported that the sea trials are over.
And what does an underwater nuclear explosion look like? We all know that very well. In 1946, the Americans had fun: they gathered all their decommissioned warships, added to them the captured Japanese aircraft carriers and cruisers, and collected all this on Bikini Atoll (Marshall Islands) and detonated under them an atomic bomb with a capacity of a mere 23 kilotons. 5 ships sank immediately, and 14 received heavy damage. The USSR had fun in a similar way on Novaya Zemlya in 1955 and 1957 — only instead of Japanese, they used scrap captured German ships — the result was similar, but weaker: the power of the charge was only 11 kilotons. Now pay attention. According to the leaks, the power of Poseidon’s warhead is either 1 or 2 megatons. If this is true, a computer simulation made by hydrologists shows that an explosion of such power in a closed water area can create a tsunami of up to 500 meters high. What will remain there after this is hard to say. And if, as the evil tongues of scientists affirm, the munition is covered in a shell of the isotope cobalt-90, then radioactive contamination will persist for decades, and the water will not wash it off.
Why is there a need for all of this nightmare? It’s very simple: it is a demonstration of the fact that no matter what intermediate-range nuclear forces are placed right at the borders of the Russian Field and who placed them there, with the shortest approach time and in large numbers — a reply will anyway fly or sail, we will bet our lives on it…
In fact, little has changed for people since the stone age: 2 Neanderthals stand and show each other their clubs, and no one dares to hit the first — only the clubs have become heavier and more expensive, and soon it will be a computer that makes the decision…
Skeptics will say: all of this is a cartoon, Russians don’t have any of this in real, in cast iron. But this is a big mistake, only those who have not seen the Russian military-industrial complex developing over the past 9 years in person can think like that. There’ll be hell to pay fo them – concerning all these things, the most difficult and long part of the job – research and development work – has been finished. Some things have already been put into service, some things will go through state tests this year (2019). Two years normally separate adoption in service and mass production.
So do some counting, as was recommended by Uncle Vova.
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