Translated by Ollie Richardson & Angelina Siard
The Foreign Minister of Canada, Stéphane Dion appealed to all countries participating in sanctions against Russia to preserve them forever – or, in his presentation, “thus far Russia will not change its position on Ukraine and Syria, where her behaviour is extremely problematic. Canada insists that the sanctions over Ukraine remain in full”.
The day before, as a reminder, the Minister of Defence of the Federal Republic of Germany Ursula von der Leyen made a similar appeal to the President of the United States D. Trump (to be firm and not soften his position against Russia).
These totally predictable statements for some reason caused a wave of euphoria in some and disappointment in others. Many of our contemporaries, obeying the uncompromising analysis on Vkontakt and Facebook, expect that the entire Western world immediately after November 8th will change their shoes on the fly and begin to chant “Putin is a normal guy, you can negotiate with him”.
In reality, of course, this is not the case. It is necessary to remember that the current elites of the Atlantic bloc today are the elites of the “old establishment”. The same ones that lost the battles of Brexit and the Dutch referendum have just been severely defeated in the fight against Trump – but it still hopes to suppress a distinguished revolt of voters against itself [the establishment – ed] by perseverance, cohesion, and a systematic approach.
One of the conditions of existence of the supranational Western elite in the 1990’s is the continuation of the financing and development of all general revenue institutions, including NATO. That’s why all bureaucratic elite of the bloc will until the end strongly insist (along with the Pentagon leadership and other stakeholders) on its usefulness and necessity. Hence the existence of a Russian threat and the need to pump money and efforts in opposition to it. In the Republican party, which very much supported the candidacy of Trump in the election, this approach also has plenty of supporters – and together they hope to advance to cement its ranks, so in order that, at the time of inauguration, President Trump does not differ at all in foreign policy from President Clinton or all other predecessors.
In other words, understanding the certain “unpredictability” of the new American President, the supranational bureaucratic elite of the West makes every effort to ensure that this unpredictability is minimized.
And this means that here, like in any trade, it is necessary for them to start to intensify their demands – so that the resulting compromise is beneficial to them.
This is normal.
In this sense, the interview of Donald Trump on 12.11.16 to the Wall Street Journal, in which he stated his position on Syria, is interesting:
- He doesn’t intend to support the anti-Assad fighters, as Obama did;
- Trump doesn’t consider the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad as a priority;
- The main thing – to destroy ISIS.
“You’re fighting Syria, Syria is fighting ISIS, and you have to get rid of ISIS. Russia is now totally aligned with Syria, and now you have Iran, which is becoming powerful, because of us, is aligned with Syria,” said Trump.
He added that he had received “a beautiful letter from Putin” and in the near future will discuss this with him.
…As is easy to see, these two positions are mutually exclusive of each other. Therefore, in the coming weeks and months we will see scenes not just of bargaining, but a kind of “cold war” between Trump and this international establishment from the “rich and merited”, which voters of Trump rebelled against, and without them it will be extremely difficult to govern.
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